Any reasonable person knows by now that most of what Trump says is bullshit. So, if he touts a successful vaccine right before the election, he might get a boost in votes. But half the population then thinks the vaccine is fake and might not take it.
It's in Pfizer's best commercial interests to release it after the election, so it's not as clearly tied to Trump. I'd say that's largely on him for being a pathological liar.
This is a surprisingly good take in my opinion.
Can you imagine being in the Pfizer board room and trying to isolate the best way to announce it, in terms of political timing, and running just raw apolitical ROI numbers on likely sales based on when it was announced?
Man, I’d have loved to been a fly on the wall for that meeting.